NFL

Weekly NFL Picks and Best Bets (All odds via FanDuel)

2025 NFL Divisional Round Player Props and Best Bets

2025-26 Pick’em Record: 185-87 (68.0%) 159-113 ATS (58.5%)

2026 NFL Playoffs Pick’em Record: 8-4 (66.6%) 9-3 ATS (75.0%)

2025-26 Player Prop Record: 485-266 (64.9%) (Best Bets signified by asterisk)

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Super Bowl LX: New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks (2/8/26 @6:30pm ET)

Where to Watch: NBC/Peacock

Lines: Seattle Seahawks (-4.5) O/U: 45.5

Picks: Seahawks Win, Patriots Cover (20-16)

Player Analysis:

Hunter Henry (NE TE): The Seahawks allowed the fifth most receptions to TEs of any team during the regular season. This could be due in part to opposing offenses running heavier sets with multiple tight ends against Seattle’s base coverages, which New England has more than enough skill to execute themselves. I expect to see a lot of 12 personnel (1RB, 2TE) with Henry getting a decent workload.

TreVeyon Henderson (NE RB): This is a pick based on sheer volume. Henderson struggled to find any form of workload in the AFC Championship game, but the Patriots in turn struggled to find much offense as a whole, recording ten points. Henderson recorded at least nine carries in 11 of his last 13 games including the playoffs, covering his current rushing line in every game with more than five carries this season. This is simply too low for a guy who will surely be more involved.

Kenneth Walker III (SEA RB): Walker will excel through the air but not so much on the ground. The Patriots defense allowed the fifth most RB receptions over the regular season, and was targeted out of the backfield at a top ten rate. With no Zach Charbonnet, Walker saw a season high four targets in the NFC Championship, and has covered this line in four of his last five games. However, the ground game is far different. The Seahawks are a zone heavy run system, but rank bottom five in success rate. Patriots’ DL Milton Williams has also been a true dominant presence for New England, as no running back has cracked 40 yards in the four games since he’s returned from injury. In fact, only two opposing RBs have ran for 50 yards in any game Williams has been active for this season.

Cooper Kupp (SEA WR): Kupp has been on this stage before and put up a two TD performance resulting in a Super Bowl MVP. Additionally, Patriots’ DB Marcus Jones should be shadowing Seahawks’ WR Rashid Shaheed as Jones has the speed to keep up with him. This is important because Carlton Davis will be the man left on Kupp, giving a clear advantage to Kupp who runs most of his routes from the slot compared to Davis who rarely migrates over there. Further, when Davis does go to the slot, he allows a 126.4 opponent passer rating, and 18.3% catch rate over expected. If Jones takes on Kupp instead, watch out for a Shaheed deep ball or two against Davis.

Top Props:

Hunter Henry Over 39.5 Receiving Yards: (-110)

TreVeyon Henderson Over 17.5 Rushing Yards: (-110)

Kenneth Walker III Over 2.5 Receptions: (-125)

Cooper Kupp 25+ Receiving Yards: (-194)

Add Ins:

George Holani Over 1.5 Receptions: (-128)

Rashid Shaheed Over 21.5 Receiving Yards: (-110)

Kenneth Walker III Under 73.5 Rushing Yards: (-110)

Stefon Diggs 4+ Receptions: (-275)

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Novelty Props:

Prop #1: Gatorade Color: Blue (+260)

Analysis: Since 2015, blue gatorade has been the most commonly duped on the winning team’s head coach, with all four blue instances taking place in that span. While the sample size is low for these two teams (primarily due to former head coach Bill Belichick being a curmudgeon and electing to have either water or nothing dumped for most of New England’s wins) the Pats did use blue for their 2015 win. Seattle used orange for their only win.

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Prop #2: Will a Player or Coach Cry during the National Anthem?: Yes (-260)

Analysis: Players or coaches crying during the National Anthem has become more commonplace in recent years. Eagles’ Head Coach Nick Sirianni went viral for starting the trend ahead of Super Bowl LVII, with Chiefs’ DL Chris Jones continuing the emotional rides into the next two Super Bowls (LVIII and LIX).

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Prop #3: National Anthem Length Over 119.5 Seconds: (-110)

Analysis: Charlie Puth, this year’s anthem performer, said himself the song is “the hardest to sing.” This is due in part to a wide vocal range required to perform it well, stretching across three octaves. This leads me to believe Puth may have a more drug out performance, in the hopes of proving his already well-known vocal talents on such a big stage. Puth has also promised a “special arrangement in D major” and plans to hit a very high A. Additionally, six of the last ten anthems have gone over this line, and four of the last five have covered their own respective lines.

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Prop #4: Who Will the MVP Thank First?: God/Religious Figure (-230)

Analysis: No matter which team wins, as long as the QB is the MVP (as is expected) this is a lock. Both QBs have been open about at least partially attributing their successes to God, especially Drake Maye. There is a good reason why the odds have suddenly swung in favor of thanking a religious figure first compared to teammates in past years with these two QBs at the helm.

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Prop #5: Coin Toss: Tails (-104)

Analysis: This pick is a true coin toss. Eight of the last 12 Super Bowls have seen the coin show tails, as well as 31/59 Super Bowls all time, giving it about a 53% hit rate. The best value from this pick may come in parlaying the coin toss winner with the game winner. While this trend has slowed in the last couple of years, nine of the last 11 champions have lost the coin toss. The only two exceptions were the Chiefs in bowls LVII and LVIII. All time, the coin toss winner is 26-33.

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Bonus Game Props:

Prop #1: Team Scores Last Wins Game: Yes (-210)

Analysis: This is always one of my favorite props to highlight. Before the Chiefs garbage time points in last year’s loss, 18 of the last 19 winners had been the team which scored last. In fact, the only time this wasn’t the case in that span was in Super Bowl XLVII where the winning Baltimore Ravens took a safety at the end of the game, giving the losing San Francisco 49ers the rights to “last score.”

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Prop #2: Total Players to Have a Pass Attempt: Over 2.5 (+160) (Via DraftKings)

Analysis: This is another one of my favorites to play, and it’s simply because of how many ways this can be covered. Injury to a starting QB, blowout resulting in a backup coming in, or of course a trick play. This line has also hit in three of the last four Super Bowls and has consistently become more prevalent in recent years.

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Prop #3: Jersey Number of First TD Scorer: Under 11.5 (-134)

Analysis: Even though the over represents the higher quantity of players, quality is very much on the side of the under. Both of Seattle’s double digit TD scorers from this season fall in the under category (Smith-Njigba and Walker III). Other receivers across both teams, such as Cooper Kupp, Stefon Diggs, and Kayshon Boutte also fall into the category. If you like the idea of a defensive first score, key defensive pieces such as Christian Gonzalez, DeMarcus Lawrence, and Nick Emmanwori fit the under category as well.

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Bold Prediction: DeMarcus Lawrence will record multiple sacks and have a fumble return for a touchdown in a low scoring Seahawks win, leading him to a Super Bowl MVP win.

DeMarcus Lawrence Super Bowl MVP Odds: (+10000)

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Check out the Playoff Push Podcast for additional fantasy advice and recaps of games on the Thursday through Sunday slates:

https://rss.com/podcasts/playoffpushpodcast/